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This calculator lets you input an actual race time to see what you should be capable of at another distance. It is adjusted for distance (ie its 10K prediction isn't just double your 5K time), but there are three assumptions:
- It assumes you've done appropriate training for the distance. Doing a 22-minute 5K today doesn't mean you can do a sub-4 marathon tomorrow.
- It assumes you don't have a natural significant bias towards either speed or endurance. Some people, no matter how much training they do, will always over-achieve at one end of the scale.
- The calculations become less accurate for times under three and a half minutes and over four hours.
The formula is T2 = T1 x (D2/D1)1.06 where T1 is the given time, D1 is the given distance, D2 is the distance to predict a time for, and T2 is the calculated time for D2.
REMEMBER THE CALCULATOR IS SHOWING YOU WHAT YOU ARE CAPABLE
OF IF YOU DO THE CORRECT TRAINING FOR THE DISTANCE. YOU WON'T BE
ABLE TO
RUN A MARATHON WELL IF YOU TRAIN FOR A 10km. |
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